:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2022 Jul 07 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 07-Jul 09 2022 is 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 07-Jul 09 2022

            Jul 07     Jul 08     Jul 09
00-03UT        3          3          2     
03-06UT        4          2          1     
06-09UT        4          3          1     
09-12UT        3          2          1     
12-15UT        2          2          1     
15-18UT        2          2          2     
18-21UT        3          2          2     
21-00UT        3          2          1     

Rationale: A chance remains for isolated G1 (Minor) storming periods on 
07 Jul as the potential for CH HSS effects persists.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 07-Jul 09 2022

              Jul 07  Jul 08  Jul 09
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 07-Jul 09 2022

              Jul 07        Jul 08        Jul 09
R1-R2           15%           15%           15%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected.  No
significant active region flare activity is forecast.